Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.369794 0.478019 0.595461 0.730660 0.880454 1.039983 1.221437
2025-10-05 0.240871 0.389187 0.566573 0.786100 1.043614 1.330499 1.669180
2025-10-12 0.173237 0.337291 0.548646 0.823206 1.156667 1.537752 1.996669
2025-10-19 0.135201 0.312727 0.556467 0.885197 1.294630 1.770855 2.352008
2025-10-26 0.103069 0.286834 0.555637 0.930765 1.408250 1.971840 2.667062
2025-11-02 0.069496 0.248139 0.530630 0.940210 1.473704 2.112958 2.910081
2025-11-09 0.033469 0.188457 0.465649 0.889402 1.458146 2.152581 3.029978
2025-11-16 0.010652 0.135593 0.400306 0.830386 1.426292 2.167935 3.117224
2025-11-23 0.002295 0.105802 0.366148 0.811080 1.442875 2.240385 3.270794
2025-11-30 0.000159 0.090750 0.355179 0.824074 1.501234 2.364133 3.485912
2025-12-07 NaN 0.072178 0.332999 0.817474 1.531365 2.451123 3.655273
2025-12-14 NaN 0.052109 0.301567 0.793049 1.534787 2.502593 3.779794
2025-12-21 NaN 0.048967 0.310080 0.835900 1.636186 2.684961 4.072782
2025-12-28 NaN 0.048498 0.325468 0.890897 1.755920 2.892537 4.399067
2026-01-04 NaN 0.045297 0.332725 0.931727 1.855124 3.073157 4.691463
2026-01-11 NaN 0.047327 0.354505 0.997467 1.990207 3.300761 5.042851
2026-01-18 NaN 0.045966 0.366327 1.046046 2.100686 3.496390 5.354466
2026-01-25 NaN 0.037794 0.356262 1.056061 2.155252 3.618816 5.574484
2026-02-01 NaN 0.021474 0.311675 1.002020 2.114888 3.615442 5.635762
2026-02-08 NaN 0.009104 0.265265 0.939124 2.058168 3.588150 5.665020
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004199 0.242936 0.918523 2.062617 3.640774 5.794076
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002573 0.238487 0.932390 2.119025 3.762973 6.011635
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000794 0.224310 0.925348 2.142763 3.840725 6.172184